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Chapters and sections on the design of experiments,nonparametric analysis of the observations, relations with other variables, how to define change and ferret out causality, dealing with missing data, tracking the observations over time, calculating proper sample size to come up with a reasonable likelihood of finding a significant difference appear. The techniques used are generally those that appeal to ones' common sense. They are simple extensions of the t test for measurements between a few groups, and the stability or time dependence of the subjects over time. Rank correlations of the Spearman and Kendall kind are frequently used.

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It seems Cal came home to find that his wife and the gardener, or tennis player, I forget which, were having an affair. He beat one or both of them up, got arrested and was tossed in jail overnight. Which meant he couldn't show up in time for a game.


I am vacationing on the French Riviera and had an occasion to talk to a PhD student in a physical science. I asked him if he knew about the job prospects after graduation. He did; there was a 1% chance that he would get a job in his field.

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I really enjoyed this article "The History of Creating Value". It has a great timeline showing how people made money through the ages.

In October in Canada, I attended an Enterprise Risk Management Conference where several heads of large Risk Management Departments talked to the group. It appears the regulators have adopted a system of 3 level of "challenges". That is they document times risk rules were broken and mistakes were made, either unintentionally or by bad processes at 3 different levels.


A “Blue Book” is being created to clarify information on the Resolution (see previous minutes) and the HOA and voting procedures. It will be released in the next month. The “Blue Book” will list the pros and cons of continuing as an HOA versus becoming a Civic Association. The objective is to educate homeowners on HOA documents, voting and the history of the HOA. For example Berkshire was a Civic Association until the HOA bylaws were adopted in 1995. This information will be available to all homeowners and homeowners are encouraged to submit their input.

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I knew that Amazon makes most of its money from its Amazon Web Services (AWS) and not from selling products online. But I never really knew the numbers.


CSR is often the crony capitalist trying to tack on a beneficial marketing strategy to get on the green bandwagon (his landlord). You have to dig deeper to sort out which companies really mean it.

I can't find any journalists to come with me and actually talk to the Amazonians so Senator Sanders will be the first one to find out. But here is how Amazon minimizes its cost (still does not make a profit): instead of paying $35 per hour as UPS does or $25 per hour plus lots of benefits as USPS does, they pay just $12/75-$15 per hour. Mr. Bezos converts their salaries, tapping into a Wall Street confidence game, into nearly $1 trillion in paper money. I may be wrong about these numbers - if anyone has better information, please tell me.


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The issue with Jobs isn't what he would have done. It's whether the management team he left leads the company to continued prosperity. It isn't yet clear that they are so doing, but I'll give them another year to show one way or another.


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My experience in big data has taught me one piece of "big data philosophy": if you can save 1% or so, you are doing great. If you see a way to save 30% - run away as quick as you can!

You better have an investor just to deal with the USPTO. Never mind marketing or actually making the products.


The underlying thrust of this timeline is to argue that being a startup founder is the route to wealth and value creation today. Which is a great idea, and in line with Distributist economic organization, which holds that the main problem with capitalism is not when you have too many capitalists, but too few. The more owners there are in the society, the better.

Pew Research decided to use income as its definition. Within income, CNN includes several ways to define middle class: middle fifth, middle three fifths and Pew's definition ranging from 2/3 to 2 times the median income.


A price distribution should follow what is called a log-normal distribution (like housing prices in the UK, for example) and look like this (below). To be as inclusive as possible, I have plotted the probability of charging a certain list price as a multiple of the Medicare largest reimbursed price – that way I can average over all Medicare procedures.

Electronic markets are far from random. Your broker's HFT frontruns your orders, and non-broker largest HFTs parallel run your orders.


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For example, imagine that the entire USA draws from a single population distribution of income and that after each person’s income is drawn, they are randomly assigned to a state. Then the per capita incomes for the states are just 50 sample means from 50 different samples, albeit of different sample sizes, from the same distribution and the Central Limit Theorem holds precisely in this situation.


After arriving home from the CompuAdd store I had to explain to my wife how I spent $3, 000 on my way home from Dallas. Charlane; 157 photos are tagged with Danielle; 50 photos are tagged with Deep Roots; 103 photos are tagged with Deep Roots 2020; 470 photos are tagged with Dienes; 141 photos are tagged with DRMF; 42 photos are tagged with DRMF2012; 157 photos are tagged with Emma V. That translates into $0.20 per hour. International Journal of Emerging Technologies in Computational. According to the latest weekly mortality statistics from EuroMOMO, as of the week of May 11, the total number of deaths in 20 European countries* was 51, 033, which is in line with the highest end of the normal range and only slightly above the normal baseline level (49, 913 deaths) for this week. Decreases in price created opportunities.

Sometimes, like now, I take my baseball out. I grip it like a pitcher and try recreating the grip for a fastball or the curveball I could never throw. I even grip it like a knuckleball and toss the ball up for a bit to see if I can get the motion correct. I flip the ball into the air and catch it and just generally goof around with my baseball. I have always loved the fell and the look of a new baseball. Sometimes I take that baseball out and just toss it up and down while I am working and that baseball and I go drifting back.


Since we varied the number of students and got similar results, it would seem that the difference in test scores are due to the teachers. In other words, variability between Algebra 1 teachers within the same school account for about 7 PARCC points (but can vary between -20 to 35 according to the plot just above).

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Brian opened up the topic of purchasing liability insurance to the meeting. Terry Wyles said any policy that is not comprehensive and has lots of exclusions is worthless because people can sue the board anyway. Without a policy, if any of the 88 homeowners brings a lawsuit, they are suing every resident of Berkshire, not just the board. Brian stated that any policy would have exclusions but would also serve as a possible deterrent to lawsuits and would provide some protection for future board members.


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Because there is no evidence that the population distribution of per capita income is not a normal distribution, an independent samples t test is appropriate for testing the null hypothesis that state income does not differ by whether the governor of the state is a Democrat or a Republican. Computations for the test are shown in Table 2 below.


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I think the odds are good for a sharp reversal rally. If things go really bad in other markets, that's where they'll be looking to cash out rather really pounded down precious metals. And gold is an international commodity - still highly valued in many cultures. This crowded-trade unwinding behaviour I think could reverse very quickly, very soon.

Ever wondered how your credit score affects the interest rate? Well, in 2021 the interest rate decreased on average 0/2% for every 100 point increase in credit score.


In its recent article on the subject Bloomberg named five such "hotspots" — Russia, India, Brazil, Turkey, and Nigeria. According to Bloomberg, the acceleration of food price inflation in these countries has the potential not only to exacerbate food insecurity for families but.

In Figure 1 I show you how much of the subject knowledge is determined by the family income in NJ school districts. Math knowledge increases from Algebra 1 to Algebra 2 perhaps because the Algebra 1 score is influenced by both middle school and high school students which might make the teachers difficult to supervise. The trend is the opposite in English, presumably because parents are strongly involved in English 9 and then give up their involvement resulting in an almost random English score in grade 11.


Was the show "House, MD" correlated with vicodin use? If so, which way did the causation go?

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There are 19 states with Democrat governors, 30 states with Republican governors, and one state, omitted from the analysis, with an Independent governor. Descriptive statistics (https://liputankarir.com/serial-code/?file=2317) including the sample size, mean standard deviation and four quartiles for the overall sample and by political party of the governor are shown in Table 1 below. Not only is the mean higher in Blue states than in Red states, but each of the four quartiles is higher in Blue states as well.


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I'm sure most of you as portfolio managers, traders or the like must in someway allow your results to affect your being? I mean this in the way that Ayn Rand wrote about, how her male characters (especially Hank Rearden) were so committed and dedicated to their path and purpose that that was their sense of self worth.


They seem to be trying to lift signal (filaments) from background noise. Do you think some market moves are signal and others noise?

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After several wording corrections and re-readings, a motion was made by Rick Newlander to accept the final wording and was seconded by Mike Nelson. The Board unanimously voted in favor of this motion.

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Today's Wall Street Journal covers executive pay. The journalists forgot the "line".

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When will the Minsky moment happen? The Amazonians going on a strike or its shareholders realizing they have been taken for a ride to please the Amazon customers, Amazon's suppliers tiring of the squeezing or the tax payer tiring of footing the Amazon bills?


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It is interesting to contemplate the swings of gold between 1600 and 1550 as it moves inversely with stock markets showing its abhorrence at the 1550 level of egalitarian policies or fear of them at the other. The increase in stock market wealth should cascade into other markets like the metals and oil and wheat.

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OUR GAY PRESIDENT SPEAKS: If being transgender is now considered a human right, then where does it end? When people want to have sex with animals will that become a human right?


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PCA is a very useful way to reduce the dimensionality of a data set, say one that has many variables, to a smaller set of uncorrelated variables you can work with. To be fair, the new variables do not necessarily have physical meaning, but they often do, and it always pays to look at the weights applied to the original variables (called loadings in some of the literature).


I find that another reason is lax supervision of Medicare providers. I find that the Medicare opioid claims per Medicare recipient varies strongly by state.

I feel the newer metal roofs, like some investing methods, are untested. I readily admit my strength is in residential construction and apartments.


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This is where it becomes interesting. One would think that the loans would go into collection as soon as they reach 361 days.

So, when do these guys have the time to learn about stock picking and/or dividends, and where're they to go to get good advice that is in their best interest? What the heck do they know about investment strategy, short or long term?


Jobs was an SOB, but the man performed. So was Bob "get rid of the olives" Crandall.

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ABN-Amro recently settled gold claims in cash at prevailing market prices. Investors came to get their gold - turns out there was none.


So we created CostOfDoctors.com, a website which estimates doctor charges (using our own algorithm). We do not guarantee results but hope it might be helpful for both those with insurance (some doctors may charge more items per visit) as well as those without insurance.

It turns out that states with Republican legislatures have providers that write more Medicare opioid prescriptions. This is shown in the graph below. In each of the graphs is displayed the percent Medicare opioid claims out of all Medicare claims as a function of median household income. The red dots correspond to Republican governors and the blue dots to Democratic governors. The lines are the least square fits to the dots.


The doctors sanctioned for opioids have somewhat more sanctions than the average sanctioned doctor (1/9 versus 1/5). One doctor had 8 sanctions altogether - 7 previous sanctions.

The owner of Britten's Egg Farm wants to estimate the mean number of eggs laid per chicken. A sample of 20 chickens shows they laid an average of 21.


Which preconditions have to be fulfilled that I can apply a z-Test here? Is it 0/47*125 5 and (1-0/47)*1255 OR 0/44*1255 and (1-0/44)*1255 OR BOTH?

Then there's the farce previously known as DC. There's the leader of North Korea trying to demonstrate that there is testosterone flowing throughout his veins. The dimensions of many of these has become evident recently. The degree to which China is slowing down and the degree to which the US housing "recovery" might slow down have also started to clarify recently. I won't get into the potential for a repeat of a SARS-like outbreak in East Asia.


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California and Texas are the largest markets for both franchises in terms of the number of stores. This is not surprising, since these are the two most populous US states. But looking at the actual number of visits to these two brands — as tracked by Tamoco in August and September last year— gives slightly a.

What are the alternatives available to the average guy, one of the 80-percenters, who wants to invest? They can buy into the marketing hype of online brokerages that tell them 'we'll give you all the tools you need', but still have no time to learn and understands half or less of what they're reading. They dive in nonetheless and lose.


The two upcoming HOA events are to be held there. Pizza and drinks will also be provided. This will be paid by the Board members themselves.

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I have just finished reading Joseph Conrad's "Typhoon", which was first published in Pall Mall Magazine in 1902. The story is about Captain Macwhirr, who sails the steamer Nan-Shan into a typhoon in the northwestern part of the Pacific Ocean.


The deliverable is the multivendor e-commerce website and apps. I want to let the user choose between variety of charities and kickstarter type funding projects and a small part of the commission of each product goes towards that charity or funding project or both.

Dan Morris put forth a motion to give all Berkshire homeowners the option of having a mandatory homeowners association with mandatory dues and a board that can enforce all the covenants and rules and regulations or an option to dissolve the HOA and form a Berkshire civic association. It would be required that 2/3 of all residents vote to either strengthen or disband the HOA.


To lower the statistical noise level the TUT test consisted of three sets of three numbers each

No one has formally "proven" that 3-DES or RSA are "secure". Given this, what evidence do we have that they are indeed secure?

From the drop of the gate everything is wrong. Matter of fact the last laps of the past race everything was wrong. There are two codes in race results that team owners and managers always get upset about, DNS did not start/qualify DNF "did not finish". There is always a push to regroup and gain at least a point on the week.


Fair Lawn scores better in Math and English but when it comes to the SATs, Glen Rock wins hands down. The SAT score seems to have nothing to do with the high school test scores! Could it be that everyone in Glen Rock hires a tutor that is much better than its high school teachers? Or do the Glen Rock students suddenly realize that they have to perform? How can Fair Lawn students copy that?

This is a famous data set describing the incidence of diabetes in a population prone to diabetes. It can be downloaded from here:.


So in summary, yes there is some obvious truth to using situational awareness to convince people. But trying to get down to the level of every single person one has to deal with isn't something everyone who is successful does, nor is it strictly necessary to achieve many goals of persuasion.

The thoughts are engendered by a reading of the excellent book Six Sources of Collapse by Charles Hadlock. The book contains a mathematical practitioners insights into dealing with collapse as a consultant for Arthur D Little for over 25 years. It contains chapters on the futility of predicting unpredictable things, crowd and herds, evolution and collapse, instability, chaos, non-linearity and networks. Great diagrams and easily accessible mathematical examples provide a framework for each chapter. It's everything that a good accessible mathematical treatise on a important problem should be.


And when the employees make so little compared to the value that Wall Street assesses their work at, some decide to cheat by leaking data and erasing negative reviews (at $500 per review). I have previously written about the problem of fake reviews.

That adds up to the perfect storm. While most families in the US have had their salary growth stop due to technology and globalization, health care has not and demographic changes will exasperate this.


Tossing my pristine baseball gently into the air watching the spin of the seams through the air and I am carried back to my basement room in the house on Boucher Avenue. I can almost feel those little white plastic earplugs on my highly prized hand held transistor radio. I would lay on the bed and listen to Chuck Thompson call the game aided by legendary stadium announcer Rex Barney. Those earplugs drowned out the sounds of a marriage that never should have happened coming to its harsh ending over a period of a couple of years. The sounds of the Orioles whipping the snot shit out of the Tigers, the Yankees, and the hated Boston Red Sox frowned out the yelling, the tight voiced arguments and occasional breaking of dishes or whatever else Mom chose to wing at her husband that night. Listening to the White Sox, The Indians, The Angels and The A’s go down in ignoble defeat could help you forget your sister was in the hospital with yet another asthma attack. You could escape it all as Buford, Blair, Robinson F, Boog, Robinson B, Johnson, Etchebarren/Hendricks, and Belanger used superior fielding skills and fierce bats to smote the evil opposition. Palmer, McNally and Cuellar befuddled and dispatched the opposing batters and Eddie Watt would close it out of they got tired from tossing all those strikeouts. I wasn’t supposed to stay up listening to those games but my mother let me have my little escape from it all and at some point during the night she would take those plugs out of my sleeping ears and place that little radio on the dresser. That radio had the most amazing batteries too.

I found independently that Medicare opioid prescriptions are very strongly correlated with state poverty - the poorer the state, the more Medicare opioid prescriptions. This presumably means that the state legislatures in poor states are easier to pay off than state legislatures in rich states. The payoff results in opioid favorable state laws; a lack of laws limiting opioids.


Jane's latest attack against Jane is a perfect example of why many Americans don't want her anywhere near the White House. This could be a BIG preview of Jane's strategy for the general election.

Suppose the advertisers spend 10% of their revenue marketing. If Facebook ads are of average utility then the advertisers make $2 per hour. One hour of your Facebook time is then creating $2/20 value for others.


We have already seen the Federal Reserve choose door (i). They also did so between 1938 and the end of the Korean War. For that entire period interest rates remained "moderate" even as the Federal debt increased parabolically. The question that even Jeffrey Gundlach seems to shy away from answering is how far along we all are in the process of climbing to the new much higher plateau of sovereign IOUs.

There is a new tool for class action attorneys specializing in medical device suits:. That site displays manufacturers together with the number of death reports and attorneys mentioned. The data is taken from an FDA database.


Or you can face your choices rationally, based on facts, on models that, somehow inflexibly, frame and contextualize events. The limited experience one has of events and ever-changing cycles does not include all possible variables. Black swans happen and can have devastating effects. The fat tail of distributions cannot be simply ignored because sooner or later you may run into it. And in that situation, there is no "storm strategy". You can only trust the ability of your helmsman to face the wind and keep going. You can only trust the structure of your ship.

As soon as the treatment period started, RLS patients started to improve! The improvement kept increasing until about 8 weeks into the trial where it stopped at an impressive 12 points with the placebo and 15 points with the drug!


The treasurer’s report was given by Eileen. A check in the amount of $25 was placed as new funds in the account. To date, 27 homeowners of 88 homes have paid the $25 annual fee, bringing a total addition of $675/00 for the current year.

As I grip that baseball I think of that little boy in torn dungarees and the amazing journey his life has turned out to be. I think of the people I love and the moments we have shared along the way. I recall the joys of being at a game with friends, enjoying a few beers and the greatest game in the history of the world (in my opinion anyway). I think of my kids and my wife who indulge my baseball addiction and all we still have to experience together as a family (including the Orioles World Series games we will be attending together very soon) and how blessed and lucky I am to have them in my life. As I watch my little baseball roll across the desk after my latest error I think of all the magic of life and the pure joy that being alive can bring.


The Daily Shot had shown that the workforce participation of women in Norway is higher than in the US. The Scandinavian countries always have an air of superiority and I decided to check it out. It turns out that for each increase in workforce participation in Norway over US, there was a similar decrease in the number of children. In other words, Norwegian women are not any more hard working than US women, there is simply a tradeoff between having children and going to work.

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Part of the gentlemen's agreement is that if a reporter or a news organization deliberately breaks an embargo, there will retribution. The company or PR firm whose embargo got flouted is supposed to exclude the offending reporter or organization from future embargo offers and pre-briefings. But I don't see that happening any more. TechCrunch, in particular, breaks embargoes with total impunity. Like codependent spouses, companies and their PR reps always seem to rationalize away the breach and go back to Arrington's crew with the next confidential story.

Unlike the astute types here on the list, there's Billy Joe Tireiron, who has an 8th grade education, works second shift at the plant and picks up a few shifts a week at the 7-11 in order to sock a little away. He's not a dummy and may know a little about saving, but knows a nothing about investing.


On average 71% of the college degree was judged as relevant to the current job (see figure below). The mode was at 100% and the distribution had a very large standard deviation (34%) and range (from 0% to 100%). An ANOVA showed a very large division between those who did not deem the college degree to be necessary for their current job (25% of college degree useful) and those who did (78% of college degree useful). For those whose jobs required the degree the range was large (0-100%) but the standard deviation somewhat smaller (28%).

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Brian said that the ACC has certain guidelines in the covenants and rules, but there are no specific guidelines for paint colors, so the decisions are subjective judgments based on the current ACC board preferences. Due to past disagreements and hard feelings regarding this matter, the board suggested the ACC investigate a color palette for the entire community. Gail Edwards, chairperson of the ACC, contacted Kwal Paints and the ACC created a color palette from the books of other HOAs that Kwal Paints has assisted. Gail stated that studies have shown that cohesive communities hold their property values better and that almost all HOA’s have a color palette. Any existing paint color would be ok, but any new paint choices would have to comply with the color palette.


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Like aligators lurking just below the surface, gazelles and wildebeast are pulled under by deception. From a micro mechanic point of view, such a fat finger drop might weaken the support structure of the depth by eating away supporting bids despite the subsequent rise.

A share of common stock is currently selling for $27/73. The last dividend paid was $1/60 per share. The marketrate of return is 10%.


Rick attended the Neighborhood Watch. HOA’s have been asked for donations for the National Night Out activities which are scheduled for August. Help soliciting donations and support from local businesses was also asked for.

Notice how the clusters are far apart before the mortgage crisis. The largest difference occurs in 2007 in which the difference is 102 points.


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Choose either "Hills Like White Elephants" or "A Rose for Emily" to analyze. You are required to reference and discuss one.

The acquisition of Whole Foods with a profit margin of about 3% then makes Amazon less vulnerable to a downturn. But is seems that if there is ever a long strike at Amazon, it might just kill the business. As a comparison, the profit margin of Alphabet is 16%, though declining 4% per year.


The test detected participants with Alzheimer’s disease (remembered an average of 1/9 items versus 2/6 for normal participants) but was insensitive to participants with MCI (remembered an average of 2/5 items). The standard deviation for both Alzheimer’s disease and normal subjects were 0/6 items. The probability of a subject in the test population having Alzheimer’s disease as a function of the number of items remembered is displayed in Figure 1.

If you think school is important, it is time to get involved. A talk with a low performing department supervisor might be a good beginning.


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Maybe these incontrovertible must-haves are foreign, and they fall into the "overseas contingency operations" beloved of a certain gunmetal-haired appointee of the current Administration that do merit extra postage, taxes, handling, to get through Taiwan border sentries? Last giggle: If you try to purchase the device or product without the add-on, they won't sell it to you. Discretionary purchases that wend their way into mandatory.


One of the silver standard symptom categories are memory failures. Alzheimer’s disease attacks the brain and causes damage to the memory. There is some reason to believe that the damage follows a particular path in the brain and the memory failures would then follow a well-defined path. It is believed, for example, that the diagnosis of “mild cognitive impairment” represents early Alzheimer’s disease.

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It is known that roughly 2/3 of all human beings have a dominant right foot or eye. Is there also right-sided dominance in kissing behavior?


Around 15 Berkshire Residents attended this meeting. Meeting was chaired by the HOA Board. This meeting was an open invitation. An open floor discussion format was held allow all residents attending to speak.

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Question was asked by member about the HOA Board holding secret meetings that members were not informed about and passing items such as the Liability Insurance. Rick stated the HOA has posted all meetings and events and only was required to meet once a year but the Board chose to meet 10 times. All meetings dates and times were posted on the HOA Website as well as Minutes of all meeting. A main concern of holding some type on insurance was the constant verbal and written threat of residents to take legal action against the HOA. It was also stated the HOA Board as representatives of the Association were well in their rights according to the Bylaws to approve funding of the HOA Liability insurance and may do so again next year.

Funny thing about markets and human behavior. When bitcoins were 10 cents each (not that long ago), nobody, not even professionals wanted them. Now, at $160, everybody wants them. There is an obvious market lesson in that.


The confidence game uses our religious belief in tech and algorithms. It makes the Amazon algorithms (whatever they might be) into a God with Mr. Bezos as their prophet.

This network of edges uniquely connects all (spans) N data paints, in a minimal way, without forming any closed circuits (a tree). In order to distil the dominant features of the MST from the noise, the operation of "pruning" is performed. A tree is pruned to level p when all branches with k galaxies, where k < p, have been removed.


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We can get a clearer view of these three "businesses" if we look at MoviePass. MoviePass kept the customers extremely happy by allowing them to see as many movies as they wanted for $10 per month. Of course, MoviePass lost money on every customer and as more and more customers were added the losses were magnified. MoviePass was not a business and it appears that neither might Amazon, Netflix or Uber be.

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In a scenario of faster and more effective worldwide vaccination, the global economy is expected to recover to pre-crisis levels sometime in 2021. Delays in vaccination programs, however, could contribute to the persistence of economic constraints in some countries and sectors, slowing the recovery of.


By the time, an operator pays his sales force, and his administration, he has to charge 20- and 2. Okay, suppose he can overcome 1- % a year vig, and make 2 % more than the market's 10%. That gives you 12 % before fees and 10% before vig. What's left for you the investor? I reiterate, one feels like telling those who wish to join the fray, come with me to Rockaway or the Hamptons to the ocean. And I'll hold up my hands like King Canute and say, "I am as incapable of helping you, and you are as incapable of making a profit other than buy and hold as I am to stop the waves".

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Eileen Lowey presented the Treasurer’s Report. In the prior twelve months, the HOA took in $700/00 in dues from 28 families or 32% of all homeowners. There was $483/60 in expenses for the community barbeque, yearly meeting, post office box and other expenses. Due to prior carry-overs, the HOA has $2,495/28 in the bank. A motion to accept the Treasurer’s Report was made by Jim and seconded by Mike.

Sometimes I fall off my chair when I see statistical (get the facts) incompetence. This time Pew Research, Financial Times & Naked Capitalism all fell victims to their own stupidity.


Subconscious need to end the game and prevent possibility of overtime (desire to get off the court,)? Something a player said (need to payback for perceived questioning of previous call)? A whistle blown by mistake in a hurry with no means to take back (I never make a bad call in an important contest).

Today was a day that I lathered the face at 7:00, and checked on the prices and the shaving cream is still there. Gold down a nice 35 bucks and bonds up a point and stocks down 8. The Dax down 150 and crude down 2 bucks.


It it the greatest acts of treason by a President in American history (rivaled by the Benghazi betrayal and cover-up) and yet not a critical word in the press. Scant attention is paid to Jane's towering betrayal.

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Since that time, prices for the same scarce objects - fine art and Bel Air real estate, for example - have literally soared. But what has driven them is not an explosion of legal tender - what was quaintly described by Friedman as "the money supply" - but an explosion of private and public borrowing. When credit has become "tight", prices have fallen; once banks and other lenders, including the government itself, have been able to write checks once again, prices have resumed their increases. It is hardly surprising that gold - itself a scarce object - that has shared that increase in price.


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The following technique is known as Euclid's Algorithm because it appears in Euclid's Elements (Book 7, ca. 300 BC). It may be the oldest nontrivial.

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Google makes everybody scurry around in the false belief they can show up on the first search page. It changes its algorithm and makes everybody run around again.

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I would argue that for most fundamentally-oriented investors, the true killer is buying too early. I believe there are mathematical underpinnings to this. Perhaps other have a rigorous analysis of this problem. I've never seen this debated on the Dailyspec.

Spurred by zero-commission trading and COVID tailwinds, this booming segment of stock market traders has reshaped market behavior. As a result, forums for financial discussion and inspiration have exploded in growth as well. WallStreetBets (r/WSB) is one of the most popular among these forums, with over.


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Health care has been able to escape globalization by a variety of protective laws. Drugs cannot be imported, FDA prevents European approved drugs from being used, doctors are very hard to import (unlike computer programmers) and that is restricted also by state lines.


When I trade gold, I find that it likes to move a fast 10 bucks in 2 minutes every now and then so you can't leave limit orders profitably to catch the reversal. If your position is too large, it will move so far against you that you will be margined out, especially over night when you don't have data to provide a buffer as to which way it's going. If you happen to have a position in the right direction and it moves a fast 10 bucks in your favor, why then it's impossible to get out. Within 1 1/2 bucks because only 1 or two contracts is bid or offered within 30 cents, and by giving up that much of an edge to trade a reasonable number of contracts, you lose your expectancy. If you trade with a small size, then the hourly wage from doing all the work is less than a construction worker.

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In short, there are some risk rules that should never be broken, no matter how high you get. These may change as the circumstances dictate but they should always be defined. Allowing everyone to hold you accountable should be part of the any trader's 12 steps.


When he was on he was a strikeout machine. When he was off he hit every batter he faced. On the upside he rarely walked anyone. Tommy wasn’t a great hitter but he was far better than his father ever was at the plate. Eventually girls, video games and other distraction of the teenage years took him away from the game but my god I did love watching my son play baseball. In my mind’s eye I can still see his bony lanky form drifting over to snag a grounder at short and start the double play.

The largest number of minimum wage applications come from Indian companies. But we have American ones as well: PWC, Deloitte, Accenture, CapGemini, Apple, Oracle, Cisco.


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Here are two charts I find interesting in the midst of the discussion of globalization. I used the Index of Economic Freedom (Heritage Foundation and the Wall Street Journal) to see what globalization does to free nations. The left chart shows that GDP per capita tends to correlate strongly with freedom. BUT the right chart shows that during the last three years, freedom did not correlate with the GDP ratio. So at least in one measure globalization is not favoring free countries.

The salary distributions of H1B workers - for single applications looks like this. The most common salary is $60-65,000.


There are pending disbursements of $250/57 for the purchase of 3 new signs and one sign holder/frame, and $265/65 for materials and supplies related to the restoration and painting of the Berkshire Village signs at the East Yale/South Oswego entrance. Rick indicated that he was seeking reimbursement for only one-half of the amount spent on the supplies related to the sign restoration.

As you can see, the left tail of the distribution is gone. All providers, without exceptions, charge at least the Medicare largest reimbursement. Medicare provides a price floor.


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A few months later as Cal Ripken caught the last out to vanquish the Phillies and win the World Series I reached for the phone to celebrate with my Dad. He didn’t answer and my joy of the victory was tempered by the fact that he never would again. He had died just a few weeks earlier and we would never go to another game or talk baseball while catching a game on the television. But I have that one game and I will treasure it forever.


And that is something else Amazon, Netflix and Uber have in common - their customers love them because they are inexpensive and easy to use. And if the customers are happy the US government cannot go after them using antitrust law.

In a highly inter-connected markets' world and where the risk-free rate itself has a volatility the comforts of isolating non-random abnormal returns' evidence too is fraught with risks of playing on a frail advantage that keeps fluctuating in its expected value with ever-changing cycles if not fading away. Thus, it seems fair to me rather than an over-simplification that the most important factor for the next price is the price at this instant or any distant instant is the price at this moment and in the prior moments.


The latest example I noticed is that if one wants to put up a youtube video one cannot choose the thumbnail! Unless one is willing to have Google ads displaying for at least a year and create a popular enough movie that 1000 people watch it.

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Last February the 2021-2021 school performance reports came out. Here is a comparison between the high schools of two neighboring towns in New Jersey, Fair Lawn and Glen Rock.

The number of viewers of American Idol has a mean of 33 million with a standard deviation of 10 million. Assume this distribution follows a normal.


Use the histogram below to answer the following questions: How many students were surveyed? What are the lower and upper class limits.

I had a conversation with a school board member in a New Jersey district in which the mean family income is large but economically disadvantaged students do not do well. I decided to see if this was a larger phenomenon.


The fine art of speculations rests on anticipations. Broadcasting media would never report what is coming to happen tomorrow, but only what may have (no guarantee that the broadcast is totally factual, since we have more "viewspapers" today than newspapers) already happened. Those who rely more on figuring out what they ought to anticipate on such resources are often the food for those who would rely on these broadcasts to figure out where the likely dead bodies will be buried. Price may not have all the information of what keeps happening every moment, but does have more information than any other resources of what is expected to happen.

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But income does not determine specific subject knowledge. In other words, you do not get the bang for the buck you might expect in each subject.

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The student teacher ratio has a very small effect and will be neglected. Income differences affect some subject scores more than others. Note the trend for English – as high school progresses the correlation with income decreases. The correlation with income is also low for Algebra 1. The strongest PARCC test correlation with income is the overall average. The student suspension rate is also strongly correlated with income.


Many mistakenly see that on occasion I luckily beat the odds and make a small profit and come to me for a little guidance as to how to take out a little profit from the market. It seems so easy and the hourly wage is so great relative to what they make. I note that my average swing from day to day is often greater than my father's total earnings in his life time. That's a terrible lure to many people. But you can't make a profit nor have I ever seen one who could unless you buy and hold, unless you have a tremendous quantified and updated date taking account of all sorts of statistics (find out here now) and randomness and ever changing cycles. Then you have to be there 24/7 to implement it because the swings that are good only last for seconds and if you have job or like to have lunch or dinner, that's incompatible.

Medicare recently released a dataset, prompted by a freedom of information request from the Wall Street Journal, which includes most approved claims for CY2012. My analysis of this dataset shows that Medicare causes significant price distortions.


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Chart is labor force participation rate 1972-present. RED arrow indicates infection point.

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The Wall Street Journal just published the CEO pay and share holder return for the S & P 500 companies. Their conclusion (women CEOs are paid more) is different from mine: the women are not paid more than the men - they are paid the same, at least if one adjusts for statistical (try this out) noise.

Assuming equal variances for each population, the t statistic (https://liputankarir.com/serial-code/?file=7707) for the test is 2/04 with 47 degrees of freedom, which has a p value of 0/047. Therefore the sample provides fairly strong evidence against the null hypothesis that per capita income is the same in Red and Blue states and we conclude that per capita income is higher in Blue or Democrat states. The research literature does not clearly identify whether the higher income of the Blue states reflects only the predominant cultural preferences of higher income individuals or reflects cultural values as well as economic opinions.


Transparency is getting harder to avoid. Companies that delay finding out about the negative impact they have in their supply chains and fixing them will pay when their customers discover and put it on twitter.

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One would think the people closest to the money in an organization would care the most about using analytics. Data from application sales at Salesforce.com seem to invalidate this assumption.


Anyway its an interesting scenario. Could be a good trading opportunity, I think the move could be explosive depending on how the news comes out - days of limit-up stuff in the futures markets (unless the banks and government call "uncle"). For disclosure purposes - I'm in a battered long precious metals trade right now, holding what I still have (I took partial stops) and starting to slowly rebuild the position.

Below are the same graphs for the murder rate. It is a lot less sensitive to the median household income and the variation with party is not as consistent.


Or perhaps they go to a commission-based financial planner who takes their 6% off the top and they're upside down from the get-go on every dollar they invest. That may be better than the others or not being in the market at all, but why start out upside down? Instead, they can, as Blodget advises, invest in a low-cost index fund, paying 1/30 the 6% entry fee and taking advantage of the long term drift.

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These are the times that test collaboration and integrity. It is easy to be honest in passing out the pot when it keeps growing fast and furious. I believe Apple may be a case where it survives through a good collaborative environment within.

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One can, in fact, see clustering in the credit scores. Interestingly, there are also two clusters in 2005, 2003 and even 2001!

First, you have to immediately and accurately evaluate what effect the event "should" have, ex ante. And then at some future point in time, compare the predicted to the actual effect the event "did" have, ex post. As there is no objective measure to use for the first step, you wind up simply testing whether or not you're any good at predicting the effects ex ante.


It would seem that one way to remove the death spiral would be to only insure against catastrophic costs. However, ObamaCare does not allow this for anyone but the poorest members and, presumably, health insurance companies would be shrinking without the gigantic premiums and health care providers would get many fewer customers if regular care would be paid by the patient instead of a third party.

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And he wonders, deep down, if he really can. Or is it going to go on like this forever.


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The research question is whether “Red” states or “Blue” states have higher average incomes. For the purposes of this research, a state will be called a Red state if its governor for the most recent year for which state income data is available, 2021, is in the Republican party and a Blue state if its governor in 2021 was a Democrat. The null hypothesis is that the population mean of per capita GDP is the same in Red states as in Blue states and the alternative hypothesis is that the mean of per capita income differs across Red and Blue states.

The book with the most "wills" is the Bible. The author with the most "shoulds" is Blake.


One of the memory tests most sensitive to Alzheimer’s disease is “free recall” in which a set of words are studied and then repeated. Unfortunately, words can be “chunked” together, creating larger meaningful units that each are as easily remembered as a single word. Some of us can chunk words more easily than others so that a word free recall test of ten words can appear to some as just five “chunks”. Thus test results cannot be compared between individuals and instead would require multiple tests over time to detect individual changes.

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Once that is done one can turn one's attention to the Longmire show's Zoloft criminals - who desperately want to make Zoloft available to prevent suicide of veterans (not much evidence that would work). Did the Zoloft prescriptions go up?

Like when bonds and stocks are both up on the day. The green on our chart or a break of a round number.


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In contrast, Glaeser and Ward (2006) show that the correlation between actual economic well-being and voting Republican has been in decline since the mid-1970s and that cultural beliefs remain the primary explanation for differences in voting patterns. They argue that industrial development was fostered by tolerance of immigrants and different religious views in concentrated population centers. In their view, tolerance of diversity not only led to identification with the Democrat party from the “cultural wars” perspective, but also furthered economic development, which explains an association between state color and income.


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Think of some great leaders you know. Some of them have claimed to feel everybody's pain, but did they really? Was there enough detail in their description to indicate that they really knew the nuances of the pain that the multitudes of people they were addressing felt? Think of some of them with quirky personalities. Do their communications on complicated subjects often even make sense? They make sense to them, but sometimes their thinking is so far away from the pack that going down to the level of everyone they are talking to simply is not something they are willing or often capable of accomplishing. Think of some other great leaders who get others to follow them simply by displaying their leadership qualities on the most basic level but not the real goal of where they are going.

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If this is what is happening, best way to play it is in physical bullion, certificates in bullion trusts that actually hold the physical gold like Sprott, and gold/silver miners I would think (even if its in the ground, they still have gold). Not sure about futures and options, ETFs that use futures as underlying, nor precious metal ETFs that don't publish the serial numbers of their inventory.

Predictive Analytics World in Chicago this year was a very interesting event. The keynote speakers highlighted two ways to gain from predictive analytics.


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Rocky a lot more astute than me perhaps because he has a bit of the idea that has the world in its grip in him from his days at the 'Bank' and his love of trend following. One passed their headquarters near the scene of the crime yesterday evening and it was replete with canine k9 4 footed operatives.


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The blue distribution has an average "income" of 1 and the red distribution has 60% higher average "income". Indeed, it looks like the "middle class" disappears but it is just a function of how a lognormal distribution changes its look when the average increases. And the +200k spike increase in the graphs of naked capitalism is there too. Of course, if the incomes increase, then the spike, which is the sum of all incomes over the scale of the graph, has to go up a lot.


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They got a result very similar to the April Quinnipiac poll. There has been no retraction or discussion of the question in the Jewish Journal.

I should add that many people mistakenly come to me to ask for advice on trading. At the junta, where I turned over the moderation to Gene Epstein, he likes to refer to me as a philanthropist. So at the end of each junta, about 20 people crowd around me asking me for philanthropy to them. Another 20 request a meeting with me to get my advice.


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This research is very interesting. How can we know better where the market will go? Does it pay for one to know more than what the market does? Or is it worth it for a trader to spend all his effort to absorb all the information? The research seems to say no. Knowing more doesn't make one more correctly predict what others would do.


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Yesterday was a frustrating day. I took out all my frustrations on the starting gate. I have a few kids that can't get the hole shot, or 1st out of the first turn. To remedy this I announced let's see how many starts we can do in one hour. I managed 32, about double the kids. Which is silly, as interval training probably slows you down in the short term. Yet the proper form and muscle memory is needed for certain tasks.


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This just tells me one more time that being a long-term investor, specifically in stocks is the thing to do for all but the very best. Yesterday was a bad today, today is a pretty good day, but do I care? Not really, other than it's more pleasant to see a lot of green than a lot of read. I do care that there is nothing good to buy, but can I do anything about it? No. Like in fishing, I just hope that sooner or later the situation changes, in the mean time watching the drift with noise superimposed on it is like watching paint dry, but a special kind of paint that doesn't dry in a monotonic fashion. So the "mistress" to me is nothing but paint that dries in an unusual fashion.


I tested using the following logic. If the absolute value of the change from Thursday's close to Friday's close on an unemployment reporting day was greater than the median of the absolute value of the daily change in the previous month, I assumed the market was reacting to the unemployment report and selected that day. For all the selected days, I backtested a one day trade entering at Friday's close and exiting at the next trading day's close, positioned in the opposite direction as Friday's net change. That is, if the net change on Friday was positive, the hypothetical trade was a short. The results were consistent with randomness.

If this affliction manifests itself in day of week effects, than when the two day move is down seriously and the one day move is up, there should be a rise the next periods. I find of the 152 most similar events in the new millennium, the average decline the next days is -0/05 %. When the two day move is up seriously but the one day move is down, there should be a decline. I find the average move the next day of 132 such events is 0/03 %. I find similar random results for intra day manifestations of this terrible affliction.


The following questions are about EXCEL VBA: 1. What is a macro? What is the relationship between a macro and a subroutine?

Sometimes it is easy to find much larger improvements using big data. For example, I found that provider Medicare reimbursements are too high and they increase list prices by an average of 45%, that Medicare payments to hospitals for heart attacks could be lowered by 37% without effecting the quality of care.


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This millenary building is built on a pre-romanic site in a valley along the main roads of communication through the mountains. The first document about the parish dates to 1148. It was built with stones and cobbled paving coming from the banks of a nearby stream. Its X-century Romanesque layout has remained unchanged. Its inside has been changed and only recent restorations have revealed the ancient Medieval decorative frescoes under the plaster-work and some sculptures. A perfectly preserved pre-Christian idol is also kept in the church. The area of Sorano was settled in Prehistory. Many stelae-statues have been found in the area. These carved stones confirm the presence of settlements since the Bronze Age. As civilizations alternated through centuries, new structures were built over the remains of previous buildings and settlements.


The cost of moving from a “bad” neighborhood to a better one is extremely expensive. Interestingly, teachers in the NJ school system can do this for free even though others can only do this at a substantial cost. The freedom of teachers to move districts may also be a reason for low performing school districts staying low performing. I suggest a solution to the problem: tax the contract benefit of moving to a richer school district at the difference in median family income between the two districts.

Stuff that gets your blood pumping is often best. I used to like sea kayaking (still do but not near the ocean anymore).


One can find lots of interesting things in the new college dataset. For example, how does the college average SAT score impact eventual earnings?

It is frequently stated that income inequality is increasing. Measuring this is more difficult. Here I use one measure - the tail of the high-end household income distribution (inflation adjusted to 2021 dollars).


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Is this enough to justify an expensive school? If the college education took 4 years, it would take another 9 years to pay off the additional cost.

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It is interesting to speculate whether there is a seasonal tendency to go down on the due date for the service and whether there is a corresponding seasonal for the subsequent days. One noted a revulsion in the air on those days in the past.

Let's think about that for a minute. If Fair Lawn is generally better than Glen Rock in both English and Math, why should the Biology score be better for Glen Rock? There seems to be a problem with the Fair Lawn Biology program.


But this story is not about Dave. It is about Cal Ripken, the guy who always played and set the record for the most consecutive games. There probably should be an asterisk in the record book from a story I was told here by a former well-connected resident of Baltimore.

When making sales calls persistence pays off. Here is what happens when bank sales people call potential customers to get a term deposit.


A pulse is sent down a transmission line that is not functioning properly. It has a propagation velocity of 2.

Over the weekend I did a bit of research into that perennial question: inflation or deflation? That let me to look more closely at velocity of money.


The reason is unclear though I venture to guess that it has to do with a lack of parental involvement: Algebra 1 is taught both in middle school and high school and may be harder to keep track of and 11th grade English may be a topic hard to understand and/or control. I note that New Jersey is not a state in which parents are particularly involved with the schools other than comparing school districts.

It may pay to keep an eye on the Aussie dollar in the near/medium term as it appears things have been coming to a head. A recent article in the Sydney paper mentions 42 dollar fish and chips, and 10 dollar bottles of water being sold. Add this to project investment diminishing, commodity prices on the back burner, banking services employment in some sectors struggling, a government political landscape that possibly has been the worst ever, and further rate cuts on the agenda. The market has been in a yearly range of 1/02-1/06 and it looks like the lower end is about to be tested.


The New York Times's hit piece on Jane continues to unravel. Now Jane says she has nothing but respect for Jane and they lied about her account too.

Write a paragraph explaining why and how the independent variable causes the dependent variable. Build your answer around at least one academic journal article. Provide the complete citation of the article used. Please use the Chicago in-text citation style.


Aubrey Niederhoffer has an excellent singing voice. He likes to sing "Those Were the Good Old Days" from Damn Yankees. The Bad One sings about how he enjoyed it when "the rack was in fashion.

As I recreate the motion of throwing across the diamond to nip the runner at first with my baseball I can remember the first time I went to a game. My friend Billy’s dad took us and no supplicant ever approached the altar of St Peters in Rome with the reverence and awe which I entered Memorial Stadium for the first time. The grass was breathtakingly green and the stark white of the baselines is etched in my mind still. Right there on the field in front of us were the Gods, legends and heroes of my youth. Andy Etchebarren hit a home run and Palmer outdueled Louis Tiant for the win against the Indians and I do not think my feet touched the ground for a month.


The Publisher apologizes for any inconvenience this may cause. Here is the full Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal.

Cal was released the following morning and able to play the next day's game, keeping his streak intact. That ladies and gentlemen of the dailyspec, and Orioles fans, is the story of "The night the lights went out in Baltimore.


I'm looking for a reliable freelance landscape/architect designer to help out with technical expertise on a residential home build project. The build will take place in NOV/DEC 2021 on a flat 48-acre lot in the high desert of Northern Nevada, USA. As the owners, we will be working with local qualified architects to design the house. A General Contractor firm will coordinate the execut.

Thanks for submitting a customer review on Amazon. Your review could not be posted to the website in its current form.


The average freedom score, weighted by population, has increased by 0/7 points in the same time period, a positive sign. However, freedom is moving from free to unfree countries: the difference in freedom correlates negatively with the freedom score.

Many bearish things about gold lately. That it doesn't go up with no inflation, that we're in recession. That the dollar is going up. That there is great overhand of stocks. I am reminded of a question that I always ask when we hear rumblings that we are going into recession and someone suggests that it is bearish for stocks. I always ask, "what does that have to do with the likely outcome of the stock market?


Here is another encryption/decryption exercise. For this exercise, I have provided a word that will serve as the key.

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I need it to translate into Cinema 4D with all the textures and materials working. It should look like the image attached.


One of the most beautiful things I've ever read is the biography of Marie Curie by Eve Curie, Madam Curie. It shows true scientists at work. It's the portrait of one of finest marriages ever. It is a model of what a good biography should be. It provides a great depiction of emigre life in Paris in the 19th century. It shows the force of an indomitable will to discover. It makes you cry when Pierre Curie is killed by onrushing horses on a crowded Paris street. It shows how chemists had to work when they needed to weigh, and touch and bottle and see everything in order to make discoveries. It shows how two new elements plutonium and radium were discovered. It shows the ossification of science in France.

CEO pay for S & P 500 firms: Women paid same as men & have the same one-year return. Still no correlation between pay and share holder value.


The real genius is not its algorithm, nor its electricity subsidized cloud division but its converting of warehouse and transportation worker salaries into retail salaries. These "Amazonians", as Amazon refers to their workers, make $12/75 an hour or slightly more than $15 per hour, depending upon whether you look at Amazon advertisements or its target="New">lecturing to Senator Sanders.

The Electronic Filing System (EFS) software you provide is so complex that it is unusable. The software allows you to submit incomplete applications (which you will then penalize inventors for). It also does not provide a record of what you actually submitted. If you want to pay fees, you cannot click on the fees tab but you have to pretend to be uploading documents.


That is the "death spiral" of health insurance. It does not occur for other insurance types, presumably because the associated costs are so much smaller: insuring one's house is only about $500 per year while health insurance for a family is $20-$30,000 per year.

This suggests that the PARCC results reflect the combination of the quality of the school education and the quality of the students and less so parent involvement. The SAT score, on the other hand, alerts parents and worries students as it carries great importance in college admission, suggesting that the SAT score reflects, in addition to the quality of the school education and the quality of the students, more student effort and parental input.


In the top graph I find that states with Republican governors have more Medicare opioid claims than states with Democratic governors. In the middle graph we see that is even more so for Republican upper houses and, in the bottom graph, for Republican lower houses (I used the Wikipedia definition of lower and upper houses).

Annual meeting, ACC reminders, etc. The HOA has decided not to use HOA general funds for this year’s neighborhood events and will pay for the events out-of-pocket. An item list was created and responsibilities for the events were divided up. A possible internet E-vite list was discussed to account for attendance. During the events HOA Board members will be visibly available to residents and offer open discussions about the HOA and the Resolution.


The smallest difference in loan amounts occurs in 2003 in which it is 1/8%. How can any borrower decide to loan the same amount to two populations that differ by 100 points in the credit score?

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I am pleased to find that Garet Garrett's novel Satan's Bushel is finally available on pdf. Written in 1924, but taking place a decade earlier, it completely captures the gestalt of the wheat market, the players, the speculators, the pit. This book is to wheat speculation as Bacon's book is to the turf speculator. I've always suggested this book to aspiring grain traders. No spoiler, but this book has the best definition I've ever seen of what a speculator is and does. Satan's Bushel is a value adding read. If this pdf is too hard to read, Kindle has it for $2/99.


Do hospitals that charge more per heart attack do a better job? Here the correlation is even smaller - only 1/5% of the score is associated with price. Medicare should probably cut the payments which range from $17,000 to $27,000 to the bottom of the range.

Jane Makes Overtime Pay Available To 4 Million Americans. Read more on the rules issued today by POTUS.


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Hello,Need help typing a 5 to 6 paragraph paper for my HUM II class. My topic has to be on Jane Austen's " Pride and Prejudice".

Germany asked for its gold back and was told - 7 years. They were not allowed to see the gold that was supposedly there, supposedly for security reasons.


Italy is for sure a place full with history and culture. The artistic and architectural heritage is immense. They are not just "old stones" from dead civilizations. They are part of our ordinary and daily life. They are living testimonies of where we come from and who we are. They help us understand how we got here. They enrich us every day when we visit our "open air" museums. We proudly preserve this patrimony because we feel it is our home. With these ideas and values in mind, Italians will navigate these turbulent times.

This makes sense since it is written primarily from the point of view of God. Why Austen and Carroll are the authors with the strongest external loci of control can be a college course in itself, but seems plausible.


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The feel of that ball in my hands with fingers properly aligned for my lightning fast 25 mile an hour fastball and I can recall as if it was yesterday being in the back yard with a pitch back net. The net was stretched on an aluminum frame with springs and had a strike zone stitched in the middle. When no one else was around, or far more likely I was grounded for some nefarious crime against parenthood, I would spend hour upon hours pitching to that machine and chasing down the returns. I was Palmer, Ford, Gibson or McNally on the release and Brooks, Belanger and Mantle on the return. I have no idea what my mother spent on that damn thing but it was the best deal she ever got on a toy.

Doesn't this sound kind of familiar? Isn't this the same fear-mongering the GOP tried when President Jane ran?


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From the new college attendance data released by the Obama administration, one finds that earnings six years after enrollment are weakly but positively correlated with the cost of attendance. For every $1 in extra tuition, the yearly salary increases by $0/45 per year.

If 'on top', you make a huge mistake and almost blow up. After such a near disaster we look to the front of the pack and we are still right there? Now most engineers or spectators will say, hold your place regroup. Go get them after you calm down. A racer is never, ever going to do that. The gist is if I almost crashed and my heart rate is pegged at 199, look up and we are close to the lead. We are going for it full throttle. The gist is you made a huge mistake and should have lost it. You're right there! This means everyone almost blew up and too many will, coast for a bit. You can go strait to the lead if you do not hesitate.


Upon the request of several members prior to the Annual Meeting, Brian prepared paper ballots for possible use by homeowners to vote. Based on the rules of the HOA, members were asked to vote for or against the use of a private ballot and a majority of members present voted to allow a private vote. Current Board members Rick Newlander, Mike Nelson, Adam Ulitzky and Eileen Lowey were all willing to remain on the board next year, with Rick Newlander as President. Brian asked if there were any other nominees for the board and Mike Perlmutter said he would like to be added.

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It is true Enron's management was engaged in a series of bad decisions. It is also true Enron offered major contributions to the energy industry. Their biggest contribution was to introduce power markets to the electric utility industry.

One example is firm transmission rights (FTRs). Before Enron, owners gave away rights to use transmission lines to a trusted few. Now, FTRs are auctioned in open markets, where users bid for the right to use utility assets.


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The other keynote speaker, Rajeeve Kaul, former Senior Vice President of OfficeMax, did a complex pricing experiment and came up with a better pricing model which saved $20-30 million that year. Their yearly revenue was $4 billion yielding a savings from their analytics experiment of about 0/5%, just like UPS, and out of a profit of $400 million the analytics experiment was about 5%.

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